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Biden is closing the gap with Trump, but third-party candidates pose a danger, polls show

Multiple new polls show Joe Biden gaining slightly in the US presidential election, but suggest third-party candidates could pose a risk to his chance to win the White House in November.

Biden has narrowed the lead by four points, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll released Saturday Donald Trump held in February, with Trump leading Biden 46% to 45% among registered voters.

The decline in support for the candidates seven months before Election Day comes as Trump is likely to remain largely off the campaign and fundraising trail for the next six weeks as he attends a criminal trial in New York over hush money payments before the 2016 election.

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A separate survey of 1,265 registered voters released Sunday by I&I/Tipp found Biden at 43% and Trump at 40% when no other choices were in the mix.

Survey respondents were asked who they preferred in a two-candidate contest, with the option to choose “other” and “not sure” – options that both earned 9% of respondents. That figure of 18% of the total vote, wrote Issues & Insights editor Terry Jones, showed that Biden and Trump “are not facing off in a vacuum.”

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When asked a follow-up question that added independent candidates Robert F Kennedy Jr., an environmental lawyer and vaccine skeptic, Harvard professor Cornel West, and Green party figure Jill Stein, Biden took the biggest hit in his support, coming in at number one line with Trump. 38%.

With Kennedy at 11%, West at 2% and Stein at 1%, Jones calculated that Kennedy’s presence transferred five points of Biden’s support to Trump’s two.

“This is not surprising, as RFK Jr is a traditional progressive leftist on most issues, making him indistinguishable from the current leadership of the Democratic party,” Jones wrote.

According to the Kennedy campaign, vice president candidate Nicole Shanahan currently has enough signatures to appear on the ballots of only six states: Hawaii, Nevada, Utah, Idaho, North Carolina and New Hampshire.

Earlier this month, the outside group No Labels announced it would not field a “unity ticket” candidate after reaching 30 potential people and raising $60 million, despite judging that “Americans remain more open to an independent presidential run and are hungrier for unifying the national elections. leadership than ever before.”

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The group said it would only offer a candidate if it could identify a candidate with a “credible path” to the White House.

“Such candidates have not come forward, so the responsible course of action is for us to resign,” the report said.

Kennedy, who has consistently denied that his candidacy is in fact a “spoiler” for Democratic hopes of retaining the White House, is not the only concern for the party that currently holds executive power.

Opinion polls are wildly contradictory. A recent Rasmussen survey found that Biden trails Trump regardless of third-party candidates.

In a two-way battle between Biden and Trump, 49% of likely American voters said they would choose Trump, and 41% would vote for Biden. That was a marginal increase for Trump since February, when he led by six points.

The same poll showed that 8% would vote for another candidate, which is almost in line with the I&I/Tipp findings.

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