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Premier League betting: Despite Manchester City’s status as extreme title favourites, there’s still value to be had on Sunday

Oddsmakers think it will be a blowout if Manchester City don’t win the English Premier League title, but there is still a way to get decent value on a Man City championship.

City is -1600 at BetMGM and will win a fourth title in a row on Sunday. Manchester City would be the first team in Premier League history to win four consecutive titles and are currently the first team since Manchester United in 2006, 2007 and 2008 to win three consecutive titles.

Man City came close to the 2024 title on Tuesday with a 2-0 win over Tottenham. The win put City two points ahead of Arsenal ahead of Sunday’s final matchday.

Arsenal, meanwhile, are at +900 to win the title despite a fairly simple title scenario, even if it seems unlikely. Arsenal host Everton on Sunday, while City host West Ham. If Arsenal beat Everton and Manchester City draw West Ham, the two teams would be level on 89 points and Arsenal would win the league title via superior goal difference. If Arsenal win and City lose, Arsenal immediately wins the league.

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The chance of City losing to West Ham is extremely small. But if you want to benefit from a Man City title, you have to rely on the odds on the match and not on the league title. Manchester City is -900 to beat West Ham. Of course, betting on that scenario won’t reward you if both teams somehow lose on Sunday, but the odds of that happening are extremely slim.

A draw between West Ham and City is at +950, ​​while West Ham is at +1900 to ease the upset and throw the race for the league title into chaos.

Arsenal, meanwhile, are at -550 to beat Everton. The Toffees are +1300 to win and a draw is +650.

Apart from the title race, there is not much meaningful at stake on Sunday. Aston Villa secured fourth place and a place in the Champions League on Tuesday after losing to Tottenham. Villa is five points ahead of Spurs. The three relegated teams have also been decided ahead of the final week of the season. Sheffield United is last with 16 points. United are eight points behind Burnley in 19th place and 10 points behind Luton Town.

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Luton Town are three points behind Nottingham Forest in 17th and could level Forest on points with a win over Fulham and a Forest loss to Burnley. However, Forest are twelve goals ahead on goal difference – that’s a gap too big for Luton Town to overcome.

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