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Trading was mixed in Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq as inflation pressures keep Fed rate cut on track

U.S. stocks traded mixed in early trading on Wednesday as investors weighed new consumer inflation data that appeared to keep the Federal Reserve on track for another rate cut next month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose only about 0.1%, coming off a steep decline as stocks closed lower across the board. Both the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell into the red after initially rising earlier in the session, down about 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively.

Consumer prices rose largely as forecast in October, with the Consumer Price Index rising 2.6% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, both meeting expectations. The increase in ‘core’ inflation – of 3.3% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month – also met expectations.

Inflation is back in focus after the post-election crack hit a wall. The FOMO market lost some mojo on Tuesday as it wondered whether President-elect Donald Trump’s policies could boost both inflation and the economy. That has helped push government bond yields higher, promising higher financing costs everywhere.

The report appears to keep the Federal Reserve on track for a rate cut in December. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari told Yahoo Finance that inflation data will be the main focus for the central bank in the coming weeks, saying at Yahoo Finance’s Invest conference that any positive surprise “could give us pause” .

According to the CME FedWatch tool, 80% of traders expect a rate cut in December.

Meanwhile, Trump has appointed Tesla ( TSLA ) CEO Elon Musk to co-lead a new government Department of Efficiency — another challenge for analysts trying to assess the EV maker’s prospects. The new president’s cabinet choices are also being closely watched for their impact on his policies and the economy, even though DOGE is not a government agency.

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Shares of Tesla have erased earlier gains as the stock tries to stage a comeback on Tuesday after falling 6%. Meanwhile, shares of Rivian (RIVN) rose double digits after Volkswagen increased its investment in the rival electric carmaker to $5.8 billion.

Read more: What the Fed’s interest rate cut means for bank accounts, CDs, loans and credit cards

LIVE 4 updates

  • Inflation is ‘slow’ as the outlook remains uncertain

    New inflation data Wednesday showed consumer prices rose as forecast in October, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to cut rates again in December.

    “There is progress on inflation,” Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, told Yahoo Finance after the data was released. “We’ve been headed in the right direction, but it’s been a slow grind. And this is another month that fits into that slow grind.”

    The outlook remains uncertain as economists warn of another possible revival of inflation following the election of Donald Trump as the country’s next president.

    Trump and his proposed policies are seen as potentially more inflationary because of the president-elect’s campaign promises of high tariffs on imported goods, tax cuts for businesses and curbs on immigration.

    Immediately after Wednesday’s release, markets continued to price in a further 25 basis point rate cut in December, after the central bank cut rates by that amount last week. Traders currently see a more than 80% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 0.25% next month, up from just under 60% on Tuesday, according to data from CME’s FedWatch Tool.

    “It is clear that the Federal Reserve’s job is still not done and that markets are right to reassess interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve,” Raymond James chief economist Eugenio Aleman said in a note to clients in response of the report.

    “In this environment, it is only oil and petrol prices that keep inflation in check. That is, any increase in oil and gas prices could seriously jeopardize the Fed’s inflation target. The Fed should be particularly concerned about the services-less-energy component of the CPI. .”

    Read more here.

  • Alexandra Canal

    Stocks open higher after inflation data

    U.S. stocks rose in early trading on Wednesday as investors weighed new consumer inflation data that met economists’ expectations as the central bank debates another rate cut next month.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) opened about 0.2% higher, coming out of a steep dip as stocks closed lower across the board. Both the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose about 0.1% each.

  • Inflation remains stable in October

    A closely watched report on U.S. inflation showed that consumer price increases remained consistent during the month of October, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Wednesday morning.

    The consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.6% in October compared to the previous year, a slight increase from the annual price increase of 2.4% in September. The annual increase was in line with economists’ expectations.

    The index rose 0.2% last month, matching September’s increase and also in line with economists’ estimates.

    On a core basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices rose 0.3% in October from the previous month, similar to September, and 3.3% from compared to last year for the third month in a row.

  • Jenny McCall

    Good morning. This is what’s happening today.

    Here’s a look at today’s top economic and market themes: Wall Street awaits new consumer inflation data, while Spirit Airlines (SAVE) plummets 70% amid looming bankruptcy troubles. US mortgage rates continue to rise post-election following Donald Trump’s victory. Meanwhile, SoftBank Group (SFTBY) plans to build a supercomputer using Nvidia’s (NVDA) new Blackwell chips, underscoring its ambitions in AI.

    Economic data: MBA Mortgage Applications, (week ending November 8); Consumer Price Index, October; Real average hourly wage, October

    Income: Cisco (CSCO)

    Here are some of the biggest stories you missed last night and early this morning:

    Kashkari: Inflation surprise could prompt Fed to pause

    Stocks have ‘room to run,’ but that doesn’t mean they should buy: Bridgewater CIO

    Inflation is unlikely to make much progress in October

    Spotify forecasts earnings to beat estimates and share prices to rise

    US mortgage rates rose again in the week after Trump’s victory

    Spirit plummets 70% amid looming bankruptcy threats

    SoftBank is the first to receive new Nvidia chips for supercomputers

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