Fantasy managers! Now it’s time get ready for your fantasy football drafts. And to get you started, I’ll break down the risers and fallers against the Average Draft Position (ADP) each week until kickoff.
ADP is just a tool to determine when (on average) a player is selected in checkers. That won’t stop you from “getting your man”, but it may provide some perspective on where to select certain players. Are they in a positional battle? Are there any concerns about injuries? What about contractual disputes?
Fantasy football is about staying on top of things, and I’ll help decipher what’s driving ADPs up and down until the season officially kicks off on September 7.
Preseason ADP: 39.9
ADP past seven days: 40.4
The market is not worried about Burrow’s calf injury. I thought Ja’Marr Chase comments from 10 days ago may give early fantasy drafters some pausebut Burrow’s ADP has moved less than one spot in the past seven days.
Chase did clarified his message a few days later – it’s less about Burrow’s availability for Week 1 and more about making sure his QB1 is completely healthy for the Bengals to go on a deep postseason run. Unsurprisingly, Bengals HC Zac Taylor was also asked about Burrow’s status, and on August 9 he stated that “[Burrow’s] timeline is several weeks from when I said several weeks.”
Is he honest or is he trolling? The fantasy community would love to know, but Burrow seems to be making progress anyway:
Burrow is listed as the QB4 in our fantasy rankings, but Lamar Jackson (QB5) is drafted slightly ahead of Burrow in the fourth round so far. By all accounts, there is no need to panic if you join Burrow this year; however, I would put more faith in Lamar Jackson if given the pick in round four.
Preseason ADP: 74.4
ADP past seven days: 83.1
A three-game suspension will bring down an ADP, but a dip of nearly 10 spots makes Kamara a value in fantasy, especially in PPR competitions. Considering his status in the NFL, it was surprising to see him log snaps in the Saints’ first preseason game. It was clear that the new offense was humming Derek Karrwhen the first team attack scored on their opening run, which clearly featured Kamara.
In that opening drive, Kamara recorded three carries for 14 yards on the ground and also caught a 17-yard screen pass.
Kamara is not for everyone. He’s coming off a disappointing season, and as my friend Scott Pianowski pointed out, his efficiency decreases, he carries some baggage off the field and faces some competition in the backfield (the Saints bring in last year’s hasty TD king, Jamal Williams).
But I can’t let him pass in the eighth round and play in the NFC South (one of the worst leagues in football). Kamara is late playing checkers.
Preseason ADP: 40.6
ADP past seven days: 45.5
Walker III remains out with a groin injury and unfortunately second round rookie for him Zach Charbonnet makes optimal use of opportunities and workload. The latter released the truckstick a few times during its preseason debut and was used on the ground as well as in the air.
Charbonnet had 37 receptions for 321 receiving yards his senior season and led the former Pac-12 with 1,680 yards from scrimmage last year. Charbonnet has some serious three-down potential, which could spell trouble for Walker III in fantasy. Seahawks HC Pete Carroll said so Walker’s injury is not serious, but when does Pete Carroll ever say an injury is serious? However, he hinted that Walker may be further from “the man” than his ADP would suggest.
But there’s still time for Yahoo’s 18th place to make up for lost time. He returned to practice on Friday after missing most of camp, so he should step up as the season approaches.
And it’s not like Walker III can’t be that guy again. He was the RB11 from Weeks 5-17 last season and helped many fantasy managers in the Championship, covering 142 yards of scrimmage in Week 17. Pete Carroll tends to ride the hot hand at RB, so Walker III poses some risk going into the fourth round. of draft.
This is an RB situation that I will be watching closely throughout pre-season.
Preseason ADP: 98.3
ADP past seven days: 94.6
The [Kenny] The connection between Pickett and Pickens blossoms after their first preseason game. Here’s Pickett hitting Pickens with a strike, a DB draped over his shoulder, only to break a tackle and work his way to a 33-yard touchdown:
This play showed off his thriving route running and YAC potential, but can he get more involved in the Steelers offense this season?
I would vote yes.
He only collected 85 goals last season with a goal share of 15.6%, which is quite low. But the advanced stats indicate that if he is mentioned more, it will pay dividends for fantasy managers. Here’s how he stacked up among other wideouts in his rookie season:
Pickett is far from a gunfighter. Still, that sloppy Steeler offensive line should help Pickett get the ball out quicker, and Pickens has the size, speed and hands to raise the bar in his sophomore NFL season. Pickett was a more efficient and productive passer when attacking Pickens and TE Pat Freiermuth last year and I expect that trend to continue.
As an eighth or ninth round pick, you could do worse than scoop up a WR2 more likely to get into the end zone than teammate with TD anemia Diontae Johnson.