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2024 Kamala Harris v. Donald Trump Battleground-State Estimates

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2024 Kamala Harris v. Donald Trump Battleground-State Estimates

Harris and Trump focus on economy


Harris and Trump focus on economy as key issue in 2024 campaign

02:57

Here are CBS News’ latest estimates on support for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the country’s most competitive states ahead of the 2024 presidential election. Here’s where the races stand Today – The figures are updated regularly.

This combination of photos shows Vice President Kamala Harris (left) on August 7, 2024, and Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump on July 31, 2024.

Charles Rex Arbogast / AP


We use a state-by-state approach, because the presidency is determined by the Electoral College, not by a national popular vote. We estimate current support using a statistical model which includes all the data we have collected so far.

That includes tens of thousands of registered voters who respond to our surveys. We poll voters in every state, but we focus our efforts on battleground states, which we expect to be more competitive. Our model combines this survey data with voter files and recent election results to anchor estimates.

CBS has a strong track record of using similar models over time. past few yearsLearn more about the Battleground Tracker methodology here.

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