Vaughn Dalzell breaks down his College Football card for Week 4, including a top 15 matchup between Oklahoma State and Utah, plus Iowa vs. Minnesota and much more!
#22 Iowa (-2.5) at Minnesota: O/U 35.5
Minnesota won 12-10 at Iowa last season, snapping an eight-game winning streak in the series for the Hawkeyes. Despite blowing Week 2 with a loss to Iowa State, Iowa is the better team and that will be evident on Saturday.
The Gophers have Max Brosmer at quarterback this year. Brodmrt has a 68.8 completion percentage on 77 throws this year and -5 rushing yards on 22 carries, along with seven sacks.is impressive
Both teams will be very dependent on the floor here and special teams will be a factor. However, I don’t think Iowa will suffer much from the away atmosphere and the Hawkeyes will come away with a win.
Iowa has won four straight at Minnesota, with the Gophers scoring a combined 17 points in the last two games. Iowa’s defense is actually better than it has been in the last two to four seasons. Give me the Hawkeyes on the ML at -135 odds as my best bet.
Choice: Iowa ML (2h)
*opportunities thanks to BettingMGM
Nico Iamaleava Over 248.5 Passing Yards vs. Oklahoma
#6 Tennessee vs. #15 Oklahoma is one of the most heavily bet on games in Saturday’s busy Week 4 competition, but the best bet in this matchup revolves around a player who has Vols quarterback Nico Iamaleava as a mainstay.
Iamaleava hasn’t even been unleashed this season, despite racking up 698 passing yards, 6 TDs, and 2 INTs, the 22nd best QBR (80.7), and a 71.6 completion percentage, while also leading the nation’s scoring offense at 63.6 points per game.
Haters will point out that two of the three games have come against Chattanooga and Kent State, but what about #23 ranked NC State (211 passing yards, 3 total TDs)? This could be the outing that throws Iamaleava into the fire and his 248.5 prop should be closer to 275 considering they haven’t played a competitive game yet.
I played Iamaleava Over 248.5 Passing Yards at -114 odds and would go up to 265 on the freshman QB. I laddered his passing touchdowns at 3-plus (+255) and 4-plus (+1100) on Bet The Edge.
Choice: Nico Iamaleava Over 248.5 passing yards (1h)
College football talk takes over Bet the Edge every Thursday throughout the season. Bet the BET ON THE FRONT is your source for all things sports betting. Get all the insights from Vaughn Dalzell, Eric Froton, and Brad Thomas on Thursdays at 6am ET here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.
#12 Utah (-2.5) at #14 Oklahoma State: O/U 54.0
Both Utah and Oklahoma State are 3-0, and the winner of this game is a Big 12 favorite to make the College Football Playoff. That’s not the story of the game, though. The story is that quarterback Cam Rising is more than likely returning for Utah, per wide receiver Dorian Singer.
Utah will need to rebound on the road, as Stillwater, Oklahoma is not an easy place to play. The Cowboys are 25-3 at Boone Pickens Stadium since the start of the 2020 season.
Even though both quarterbacks are a combined 49 years old, I think the difference in this game will be the Cowboys’ Ollie Gordon (260 total yards, 4 TDs). He’s arguably the best running back in the country.
Gordon finished last season with 100+ yards in eight of his last 10 games. Utah has one of the best defenses in the country, but a running back like him can make a difference.
Oklahoma State is on a 10-4 run against top-25 teams when ranked and 5-0 all-time when ranked in the top 15 at home and facing another top-15 team. Give me the Cowboys +2.5 at -110 and the ML at +115. I also have Gordon laddered at 2-plus touchdowns (+285) and 3-plus touchdowns (+1000).
Update: This game ended in Oklahoma State -2 or -2.5 and if it stays that way, the Cowboys ML with odds up to -140 would be the best bet.
Choice: Oklahoma State +2.5 (1h), Oklahoma State ML (0.5h)
*opportunities thanks to BettingMGM
Miami (OH) at #17 Notre Dame: O/U 44.0
Notre Dame defeated Purdue 66-7 in a game that saw the spread narrow from -10.5 to -6.5 in favor of the Irish.
Notre Dame’s defense nearly shutout Purdue after being embarrassed in a 16-14 home loss to Northern Illinois. The Irish’s woes appear to be solved for now, and they’ll have another positive matchup with the Miami RedHawks on deck.
Miami’s offense has struggled, totaling 22 points in two games against Northwestern (13-6) and Cincinnati (27-16). Miami lost both games and couldn’t get going in the first half, totaling six first-half points in two games on two field goals.
Notre Dame didn’t allow Purdue to score in the first half last week, and Texas A&M managed just six points on two field goals in Week 1. Northern Illinois had 13 first-half points with an 83-yard touchdown and two field goals, but that can be considered an outlier because they scored three more points the rest of the way and somehow won.
I took Miami (OH) First-Half Team Total Under 2.5 at +140 odds as my best bet for this matchup. I’d go Under 0.5 since they’re essentially the same bet. You could take Under 3.5 in the first half for -150 odds on FanDuel to get the hook at 3.5.
Choice: Miami (OH) First Half Team Total Under 2.5 (1h)
Season record: 14-21 (40%) -11.63 units
Last week: 6-4 (60%) +0.56 units
Follow our experts on social media to stay up to date with the latest content from our employees:
– Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
– Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
– Eric Froton (@CFFroton)
-Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
-Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
