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Dow is slipping, Nasdaq is booming while Tesla and Bitcoin shine

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Dow is slipping, Nasdaq is booming while Tesla and Bitcoin shine

U.S. stock futures traded mixed on Monday as optimism over rate cuts faded as investors looked ahead to Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings to test the health of AI trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) fell about 0.2%, while S&P 500 futures (ES=F) were largely flat. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) rose 0.3%, buoyed by a rise in Tesla (TSLA) shares.

Stocks start the week on the back foot as the prospect of longer yields keeps post-election bullishness in check. The S&P 500 has reversed half its Trump-fueled rally after sharp weekly losses for key indicators led by technology.

Signs of a robust economy, combined with comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, have prompted investors to temper their expectations for rate cuts. After the major macroeconomic and political events of the past few days, the week will bring little economic data that is likely to reset these calculations.

Read more: What the Fed’s interest rate cut means for bank accounts, CDs, loans and credit cards

That’s why eyes now turn to Nvidia’s results on Wednesday for insight into the power of AI trading, which has contributed to the S&P 500’s gains over the past year. Production of its flagship Blackwell chip is taking center stage, especially after The Information reported that its next-generation AI chip has experienced overheating issues. Nvidia shares fell more than 2% in premarket trading.

Elsewhere in the tech sector, shares of EV maker Tesla rose almost 7% in the wake of a Bloomberg report that President-elect Donald Trump’s team wants to relax US rules on self-driving vehicles.

Wall Street continues to keep an eye on Trump’s cabinet picks after his choice of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as a top health care official rocked vaccine stocks. The new president has appointed Brendan Carr, a critic of Big Techs like Meta and Apple, as chairman of the Federal Communications Commission. We now have to wait to see who will win the crazy race to become Trump’s Treasury Secretary.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) – a major Trump trade – has recovered from its biggest decline since last weekend’s election. The cryptocurrency was trading above $90,000 early Monday.

LIVE 2 updates
  • Goldman is weighing the potential impact of the Trump tariffs

    Wall Street’s 2025 forecasts are trickling in, and of course a keyword search I do is: rates. Any tariffs Trump imposes on China or Europe could impact the economy and the outlook for Fed policy.

    Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius this morning downplayed the potential economic impact of tariffs. Hatzius reasons that rates would be more likely to be a one-time blow to growth and inflation, and would not derail further Fed rate cuts in 2025.

    Hatzius says:

  • Let Nvidia mania begin

    To say expectations for Nvidia (NVDA) in Wednesday’s earnings results are sky-high is an understatement.

    They are super, extra sky high!

    Nvidia has outperformed the S&P 500 (^GSPC) by 172% year to date and by 5% in the past month, according to EvercoreISI analyst Mark Lipacis. The stock trades on a price-to-earnings ratio of 37 times, a 54% premium to the S&P 500.

    Expectations have Wall Street hedging their bets on Nvidia a bit in the release. Here’s Lipacis in a customer note this morning:

    I discussed Nvidia’s valuation in a recent chat on my Opening Bid podcast with Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya (video below). Arya makes some good points about how Nvidia stock tends to trade around certain valuation levels.

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