It’s a simple goal for fantasy managers: go where the points are. Identify the juiciest NFL offenses and take as many players as possible.
Now that we’re in the middle of November, it’s a good time to take stock of the offenses we trust and the offenses we don’t trust. Here’s how I view all 32 teams for the fantasy value they collectively provide.
All weekly fantasy grades come from FantasyPros with half-point PPR scores.
No, they are not the best team in the NFL or even the NFC. They might not even win their division. But Christian McCaffrey immediately returned to bell-cow status and Jauan Jennings is already a WR2 for fantasy purposes, settling into the X role vacated by Brandon Aiyuk.
2.Philadelphia Eagles (5)
Jalen Hurts has become dishonest with his success at the goal line, leaving more than enough for Saquon Barkley, AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith.
3.Baltimore Ravens (7)
It’s hard to believe this is a 30-year season for Derrick Henry; he’s second in tackles broken and second in yards after contact (to be fair, there’s some double-counting when reporting both stats). And Henry’s career trend shows that he usually gets better as the season progresses. The Ravens were slow to sign Diontae Johnson, and even if Johnson gets more snaps, this passing game has several other legitimate options. I wouldn’t blame anyone who cut Johnson.
4. Detroit Lions (1)
The backfield has two easy plays, but Amon-Ra St. Brown has been the only constant in the downfield passing game. Jameson Williams is their x-factor, the boom-bust man.
5. Cincinnati Bengals (10)
The Bengals are the leaders in success rates above expectations, so Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase are ready to turn fantasy seasons around. Chase Brown will also have an impact; The acquisition of Khalil Herbert was merely a depth play.
6. Buffalo notes (2)
All summer long we wondered who the right answer was in the fitting room. But sometimes there are no right answers.
7. Minnesota Vikings (4)
Sam Darnold consistently pushes the ball upfield and most of his passing numbers are well above league average. But he lags in two crucial areas: His sack and interception percentages are both below code. If you can’t avoid negative plays, play with the upside capped. Kevin O’Connell is a dreamy game designer, but ultimately Darnold’s error-prone nature will bring this team down.
8. Green Bay Packers (6)
The passing Green Bay pie always smells good, but that pie is cut into several pieces. Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, Tucker Kraft and Christian Watson are all in the 39-47 target range. Jordan Love has increased his touchdown percentage and YPA this year, but he has also seen a big spike in interceptions.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8)
If a high-powered scheme is one of your concepts, the Buccaneers could be your team. Tampa Bay has had the toughest schedule in football to date, and now it’s the easiest step forward. The Cowboys and Panthers await in the final two weeks of the fantasy playoffs.
10.Seattle Seahawks (9)
The Seahawks finally unlocked Jaxon-Smith Njigba, but the offense isn’t the same without DK Metcalf. Give Seattle credit for keeping it moving: They play at the second-fastest pace in the league.
11.Atlanta Falcons (10)
Kirk Cousins ​​went ballistic in his two starts against Tampa Bay. In his other starts this year, he averaged a QB20 finish. For some reason, the Falcons gave Tyler Allgeier three straight goals last week — all unsuccessfully — before Bijan Robinson finished the job.
12. Arizona Cardinals (14)
Can we get some consistency from Kyler Murray? Consider his weekly finishes: QB15, QB1, QB17, QB24, QB5, QB25, QB5, QB12, QB30, QB4. James Conner has been the most underrated player in football for a few years now.
13. LA Rams (28)
Most rankings have Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp close each week, but Nacua’s advantage is greater when you consider how often the Rams prioritize him on a pass route.
14. Kansas City Chefs (17)
Travis Kelce did very little the first three weeks, but Rashee Rice was hurt in Week 3. Kelce since then: TE5, TE7, TE30, TE4, TE3, TE1. The original plan was to spare Kelce more for the playoffs, but plans need to be flexible if you get in the way.
15. Washington Commanders (11)
Jayden Daniels is everything we dreamed of and Terry McLaurin’s long-awaited career season was glorious. But surprisingly, there is no second receiver coming home on this roster.
16. Houston Texans (15)
Joe Mixon has five 100-yard games and eight touchdowns, surviving despite a Houston offensive line that hasn’t played well. Nico Collins is desperately needed back to solve the downfield passing game, but John Metchie III’s Week 10 breakout might be a bit sticky.
17.Pittsburgh Steelers (19)
The Steelers have the lowest above-expectation success rate in the league, meaning Najee Harris is an automatic fantasy starter for the year and Jaylen Warren has some flex appeal. George Pickens has posted WR3 and WR5 finishes in his last three starts, clearly better off now that Russell Wilson is the starter in Pittsburgh. Not that Pittsburgh has been playing an easy schedule so far; it’s going to be significantly more difficult.
18. Miami Dolphins (25)
Tua Tagovailoa is back, but it wasn’t as fun: QB22, QB19, QB22. The Dolphins don’t trust their offensive line and they’re concerned about Tua’s health, and it shows in the play-calling.
19. Indianapolis foals (20)
The Colts played the eleventh-hardest schedule through the first ten weeks, but as of now they face the third-easiest schedule. So it’s the perfect time to get back to Anthony Richardson, even if it’s not the best news for anyone who has tickets to this WR room.
20. LA Chargers (27)
The Chargers will never be a proactive passing team, but Justin Herbert’s efficiency stats are a dream. As we wander through the tough bye week season, Quentin Johnston and Ladd McConkey are both worth considering. TE Will Dissly too.
21. Denver Broncos (31)
Audric Estimé was rightfully pursued in the free agent pool this week, the new two-down pounder in Denver. But he had a limited receiving profile in college and hasn’t made it to the NFL yet, so understand we’re talking about a hedged upside. Courtland Sutton is starting to click with Bo Nix, hitting WR7 and WR7 over the past two weeks.
22. Chicago Bears (21)
Chicago’s offensive line is clearly a problem, but remember that sacks are more of a quarterback stat than an offensive line stat. Caleb Williams holds the ball too long, not that outgoing OC Shane Waldron did him any favors. Chicago played the second easiest schedule so far; it’s the hardest thing in football to get ahead.
23. NY Jets (22)
Coaches have been fired. Game sheets have changed hands. Signature transactions have been completed. There are no more cards to play. Fold the hand.
24. Jacksonville Jaguars (23)
There’s actually nothing wrong with Tank Bigsby, but the situation around him is falling apart. Trevor Lawrence isn’t healthy, the team is losing games, too many game scripts are spiraling out of control. The Jaguars don’t use Bigsby much in the passing game and Travis Etienne Jr. has also returned. That’s why Bigsby could be a fair cut in some leagues right now.
25. NY Giants (24)
No one sees Drew Lock as a savior, but Daniel Jones probably deserves to be on the bench when the Giants return from their bye. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has pushed Devin Singletary out of the way, remarkable considering Singletary’s history with head coach Brian Daboll.
26. Las Vegas Raiders (26)
Jakobi Meyers and Brock Bowers are fantasy play, so is Alexander Mattison if you want some empty volume. But there are no right answers in this quarterback room, and the Raiders defense gets trampled most weeks as well.
27. Cleveland Browns (30)
I hope Jameis Winston beats New Orleans this week, because this fantasy offense is much more interesting with Winston than it is with Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Last three games for Cedric Tillman: WR14, WR3, WR12.
28. Tennessee Titans (29)
Calvin Ridley has shown he can produce with either quarterback, so welcome back to the Circle of Trust. Tony Pollard plays bravely every week despite injuries keeping him out of training; Keep an eye on Tyjae Spears.
29. New Orleans Saints (12)
Their banging 2-0 start feels like it was fifteen years ago. Alvin Kamara has been fantasy royalty all year, but his heavy workload is concerning given his stature and career resume.
30. New England Patriots (32)
Drake Maye checks all the boxes: athletic, competitive, accurate. The mediocre offensive line in front of him hasn’t held him back much. Rhamondre Stevenson was a credit RB21 through the first ten weeks.
31. Dallas Cowboys (13)
It’s not fun to pull the plug on an offense, but we have no choice. Of course you play CeeDee Lamb, and maybe you hold your nose and use Rico Dowdle. Jake Ferguson plays tight end, so you might be stuck there. But this offense probably doesn’t have a chance with Cooper Rush and Trey Lance.
32. Carolina panthers (18)
Chuba Hubbard was one of the fantasy steals of the year, but he is the only playable guy on the roster. Imagine what Hubbard could do if he could face his own defense, the biggest rushing giveaway in the league.
