Create your fantasy football lineups for Week 10 with starting/sitting advice for every game on the slate.
New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers (Germany)
Start: Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Tracy Jr. played a strong role in three games since Devin Singletary returned, and that role is growing by the week. He’s averaging 82.6 rushing yards and 5.2 YPC over five games as a starter, and he can contribute more in the passing game (he played wide receiver in college).
The Giants have gone run-heavy over the past two games, and they get a Carolina defense this week that is giving up by far the most fantasy points for running backs. The Panthers have also yielded the most rushing yards (132.9) and total touchdowns (15) to RBs this year. The Giants are near-touchdown favorites in Germany on Sunday, so Tracy Jr. is a top-15 RB in a mouthwatering matchup this week.
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
Start: D’André Swift
Swift has been fantasy’s RB8 since Week 3, despite Caleb Williams’ struggles. The rookie QB has played much better at home this season, where the Bears are near-touchdown favorites on Sunday. Swift has averaged 108.6 yards from scrimmage and nearly a TD per game in wins this season, and the game script should be positive this week. The Patriots have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to running backs this year, and RBs have averaged 143.5 rushing yards against New England over the past four games. Swift is a top-10 RB this week.
Subscribe Yahoo Fantasy Prediction on Apple podcasts, Spotify, YouTube or wherever you listen.
Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts
Start: Dalton Kincaid & Josh Downs
Kincaid is averaging more than seven goals in the past five games, including 10 last week. The Bills have a +5% PROE over the last three weeks, and Amari Cooper is dealing with a wrist injury, and Keon Coleman has already been ruled out for Week 10. Kincaid should be busy on Sunday against a Colts defense, allowing the fourth place becomes possible fantasy points to tight ends this season. Kincaid is second on Buffalo in targets per route, and he’s on the verge of decline as he’s seen the most elusive targets among tight ends. He started strongly in a nice indoor match on Sunday.
Downs saw his route participation decline last week when the Colts went 12-man against a blitz-happy Brian Flores defense, but he still saw five more targets than any other Indy receiver. Downs ranks in the top five in goals and top 10 in expected fantasy points in games started by Joe Flacco this season. Michael Pittman Jr. is dealing with a debilitating back injury, so he is not commanding the goals. The Bills have given up the seventh-highest target share and eighth-most receiving yards at the slot, where Downs has run 79% of his routes this season.
Minnesota Vikings @Jacksonville Jaguars
Start: Brian Thomas Jr.
Thomas Jr.’s lack of goals has been frustrating, but there should be more volume with Christian Kirk out this season. Thomas ranks eighth in receiving yards, but only 28th in targets. The rookie ranks second in the league in yards per target and 10th in route winning percentage. Minnesota should provide the volume, as the Vikings’ opponents have averaged the most pass attempts (40) this season. Minnesota has allowed the second-most targets and fantasy points to wide receivers. Mac Jones is a downgrade from Trevor Lawrence, but he is a serviceable backup. BTJ should see more opportunities if the healthcare sector cooperates.
Sam Darnold is my QB6 this week in a very favorable matchup, while Aaron Jones is regressing and is in a great spot.
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
Seated: Javonte Williams & Courtland Sutton
Williams’ tough schedule continues after playing in Baltimore last week. Kansas City has yielded by far the fewest fantasy points to running backs (also adjusting the schedule), including an NFL-low 50.9 RB rushing yards per game. The game script will also likely be an issue with Denver underdogs at 7.5 points, and the Broncos have a modest total of 16.5 points.
Sutton’s fantasy managers deserve better after he lost a fumble at the goal line two games ago and was tackled at the one-yard line last week when Bo Nix also missed him openly in the end zone. Sutton has the 12th-highest share of air yards this season, so he remains a top-35 WR this week, but expectations should be tempered. The Chiefs have allowed the fewest fantasy points to outside receivers, where Sutton has run 86% of his routes this season. Additionally, Sutton’s target rate and achievable target rate have plummeted when Nix has been under pressure this year, so explore alternatives if possible.
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Start: Taysom Hill
Hill saw 10 opportunities and increased route share last week, as he became New Orleans’ second option on offense with Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed out. Hill had a brief rushing score last week and has seen four carries inside the 10-yard line over the last three games. Plug Hill into your tight end spot.
Darnell Mooney led all receivers in first-read target share last week (52.9%), and he would see another huge fantasy boost if Drake London is in attendance on Sunday.
San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Start: Brock Purdy
Purdy comes out of his bye with healthier weapons in a very favorable matchup. Tampa Bay has allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season, including a whopping 12 touchdown passes over the past three weeks. The Bucs defense played 83 snaps on Monday night and will now have a short week. Purdy has the NFL’s highest passer rating (126.0) versus zone coverage, which Tampa Bay uses at one of the highest rates in the league. The 49ers are projected to score the most points (29.5) this week, so Purdy is a top-five fantasy QB.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Commanders
Beginning: George Pickens
Pickens averaged 60.5 receiving yards and scored zero touchdowns in six games with Justin Fields this year. His full season pace over two games with Russell Wilson is 1,572 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. Pickens has already lured nearly as many targets inside Wilson’s 10-yard line (three) as he has through the first six games (four). Washington’s defense has played much better after a slow start, but Pittsburgh may have to throw more than usual in this fast-paced game.
Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers
Seated: Tony Pollard & Calvin Ridley
Pollard missed Thursday’s training due to his ongoing foot problem. He was able to play through the injury last week, but the Titans are hoping to reduce Pollard’s workload with Tyjae Spears finally returning this week. Pollard has experienced a dip in production during games with Spears this season, and he faces a Chargers defense this week that allows the second-fewest fantasy points available to running backs. Los Angeles has yielded an NFL-low one RB rushing touchdown and 52 fewer points than their opponents’ implied total this season.
Ridley has benefited from the departure of DeAndre Hopkins, but he gets a Chargers secondary that gives his primary the fewest fantasy points. Ridley also benefited from Mason Rudolph’s start, but Will Levis returned to full practice on Thursday. Tennessee has an implied league total of 15.5 points this week, and this game will be slow. Ridley’s schedule becomes very favorable after this week.
New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals
Start: Davante Adams
Adams got off to a slower start after being traded to the Jets, but he has amassed a 37% target share through three games with New York. Since the trade, he has been playing more outside the slot, where Arizona has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points this season. Aaron Rodgers will likely look more in the red zone, so Adams is another must-fantasy start.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Sits: Rico Dowdle
Dowdle is the RB25 in this week’s “expert consensus ranks,” which makes sense given his projected volume and how thin RB is becoming. Dowdle has a season-high share (73%), but he will have a tough matchup playing in an offense missing Dak Prescott and possibly CeeDee Lamb.
The Eagles have given up the third-fewest fantasy points to running backs, and no RB has reached even 50 rushing yards since Week 3 against Philadelphia. Dallas’ fantasy RB usage ranks last in the league, and the Cooper Rush-led Cowboys have a modest 17.5 -point implied total this week. This matchup is also expected to be slow, so expectations for Dowdle should be tempered even if he acts as Dallas’ lead back.
Detroit Lions @ Houston Texans
Start: Tank Dell
Dell had his best game of the season last week when he saw the sixth-most air yards in the league against a tough Jets secondary. He will continue to benefit from Stefon Diggs’ absence, and it appears Nico Collins will also return on Sunday night. Dell gets a pass-funnel Detroit defense that allows the sixth-fewest fantasy points to RBs, but the third-most to WRs. Lions opponents have the second highest success rate this season (65%). Additionally, CJ Stroud’s career YPA jumps from 6.9 on the road to 8.7 at home, while his TD percentage nearly doubles. Dell could have a big game on Sunday night.
Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams
Start: Jonnu Smith
Smith leads the Dolphins with a 22% target share since parting ways with Miami, higher than Tyreek Hill (19%), De’Von Achane (21%) and Jaylen Waddle (12%!). Smith has a 76% route participation rate over that three-game span, and he has become a TE1. Smith has seen at least six targets in four straight games, and the Rams have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Start Smith in an indoor matchup with a total of 50 points Monday night.
