HomeSportsNFL Week 11 Picks: Can Bills Beat Undefeated Chiefs? Bengals test Chargers...

NFL Week 11 Picks: Can Bills Beat Undefeated Chiefs? Bengals test Chargers defense

(Tim Hubbard/Los Angeles Times)

Los Angeles Times NFL writer Sam Farmer examines this week’s matchups. Lines according to FanDuel Sportsbook (O/U = top/bottom). Record last week 8-6 (.571); season 98-54 (.645). If we used point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record over last week’s spread would have been 6-8 (.429); season 82-69-1 (.543). From: cardinals, pirates, panthers, giants. Times Pacific. TV channels are local from Los Angeles.

COMMANDERS (7-3) AT EAGLES (7-2)

Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) tiptoes down the sideline against the Bengals.Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) tiptoes down the sideline against the Bengals.

Saquon Barkley brings better balance to the Eagles’ offense. (Emilee Chinn/Associated Press)

Tonight, 5:15 PM. TV: Amazon Prime Video

Line: Eagles with 3½. O/U: 48½.

The Eagles are on a roll and have won five in a row since their off week. Saquon Barkley was a phenomenal addition. After three straight wins over bad teams, the Commanders were defeated by Pittsburgh.

Choose: Eagles 30, Commanders 21

RAMS (4-5) AT PATRIOTS (3-7)

New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) warms up before a game.New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) warms up before a game.

The young Rams pass rush will chase Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye. (George Walker IV / Associated Press)

Sunday, 10am TV: Channel 11 (Fox)

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Line: Rams with 4½. O/U: 43½.

Drake Maye is one to watch, and the Patriots have won two of their last three. The Rams were embarrassed by the Dolphins and should be able to bounce back even if they don’t blow anyone out.

Choose: Rams 24, Patriots 18

RAVENEN (7-3) AT STEELERS (7-2)

Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Russell Wilson (3) throws a pass against the Buffalo Bills.Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Russell Wilson (3) throws a pass against the Buffalo Bills.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has taken the Steelers offense to the next level since taking over as starter. (Matt Freed / Associated Press)

Sunday, 10am TV: Channel 2 (CBS)

Line: Ravens per 3. O/U: 48½.

The Steelers are making the critics believers, and Russell Wilson is still throwing a beautiful deep ball. Baltimore has a lot of weapons, but this isn’t one of those classic Ravens defenses.

Choose: Steelers 27, Ravens 24

PACKERS (6-3) AT BEARS (4-5)

Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) looks to suit up against the Rams.Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) looks to suit up against the Rams.

Packers quarterback Jordan Love should be well rested after a week off. (Mike Roemer / Associated Press)

Sunday, 10am TV: NFL ticket

Line: Packers of 5½. O/U: 40½.

The Packers are fresh after a week off. That gave them some time to explore themselves and for Jordan Love to get healthier. After an impressive stretch, Chicago has been a mess for three straight games.

Choose: Packers 24, Bears 13

JAGUARS (2-8) AT LIONS (8-1)

Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) throws a pass against the Texans.Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) throws a pass against the Texans.

Lions quarterback Jared Goff had five of his passes intercepted by the Texans last week and Detroit still won. (David J. Phillip/Associated Press)

Sunday, 10am TV: NFL ticket

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Line: Lions with 13½. O/U: 47½.

Jared Goff gets shut down five times and the Lions still win? This team believes – and for good reason. There’s always a chance of disappointment, but that’s unlikely when you’re playing a two-win opponent at home.

Choose: Lions 31, Jaguars 17

RAIDERS (2-7) AT DOLPHINS (3-6)

Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa avoids the sack attempt of the Rams' Kobie Turner.Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa avoids the sack attempt of the Rams' Kobie Turner.

Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa’s ability to scramble hurt the Rams last week. (Wally Skalij / Los Angeles Times)

Sunday, 10am TV: NFL ticket

Line: Dolphins with 7½. O/U: 44½.

That was an impressive Rams win for Miami. The Raiders will have a hard time keeping pace offensively in this game. That said, the Raiders are rested and their pass rush isn’t bad.

Choose: Dolphins 23, Raiders 16

BROWN (2-7) AMONG SAINTS (3-7)

Cleveland Browns quarterback Jameis Winston (5) passes against Chargers.Cleveland Browns quarterback Jameis Winston (5) passes against Chargers.

Cleveland Browns quarterback Jameis Winston takes on his former team in the New Orleans Saints. (David Richard/Associated Press)

Sunday, 10am TV: NFL ticket

Line: Saints with 1½. O/U: 44½.

Teams that change coaches tend to take a week of recovery, and the Saints got that last week. Jameis Winston knows this Saints team that is without Marshon Lattimore.

Choose: Browns 20, Saints 17

VIKINGS (7-2) AT TITANS (2-7)

Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) calls a play at the line of scrimmage.Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) calls a play at the line of scrimmage.

Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) has been turnover-prone in recent weeks. (Stacy Bengs/Associated Press)

Sunday, 10am TV: NFL ticket

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Line: Vikings with 5½. O/U: 40½.

Sam Darnold has five interceptions over the last two games even as his Vikings have held on to win. Fortunately for Minnesota, the Titans can’t score and their defense is on the field too long.

Choose: Vikings 24, Titans 16

FOLDING (4-6) AT JETS (3-7)

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (5) stretches during warm-ups/Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (5) stretches during warm-ups/

The Colts have said quarterback Anthony Richardson will start the rest of the season, injuries permitting. (Matt Ludtke/Associated Press)

Sunday, 10am TV: NFL ticket

Line: Jets of 3½. O/U: 43½.

It’s hard to have any confidence in the Jets, who have been absolutely battered by Arizona, but the Colts don’t have much going for them either – plus they’re on the road. Home team holds on.

Choose: Jets 17, Colts 16

FALCONS (6-4) AT BRONCOS (5-5)

Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) is going to throw the football.Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) is going to throw the football.

Can Broncos quarterback Bo Nix produce enough points to beat the Falcons? (David Zalubowski/Associated Press)

Sunday, 1:05 PM TV: NFL ticket

Line: Broncos by 2½. O/U: 44½.

The Falcons are looking to bounce back from the loss to New Orleans, and Denver’s defense is quite good. Bo Nix is ​​having a solid season and Denver is keeping it close this season. Atlanta lingers.

Choose: Falcons 21, Broncos 17

SEAHAWKS (4-5) AT 49ERS (5-4)

San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey catches passes before a game against the Arizona Cardinals.San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey catches passes before a game against the Arizona Cardinals.

San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey should see more playing time after returning from injury last week. (Matt York/Associated Press)

Sunday, 1:05 PM TV: NFL ticket

Line: 49ers at 6½. O/U: 49½.

This is around the time of year when the 49ers really rev their engines and start piling up wins. Christian McCaffrey is ready to really resurface. Rested Seahawks keep this close.

Choose: 49ers 27, Seahawks 23

CHIEFS (9-0) AT BILLS (8-2)

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) celebrates a touchdown with a big smile on his faceBuffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) celebrates a touchdown with a big smile on his face

The Bills’ Josh Allen will try to become the first quarterback to beat the Chiefs this season. (Doug Murray/Associated Press)

Sunday, 1:25 p.m TV: Channel 2 (CBS)

Line: Bills per 1½. O/U: 46½.

The Chiefs barely avoided a home loss to Denver and can’t be too happy with their play. Buffalo is a bit more confused than most. I’m willing to bet the Bills put an early blemish on that gaudy KC record.

Choose: Bills 24, Chiefs 20

BENGAL (4-6) ON CHARGERS (6-3)

Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh celebrates a touchdown against the Titans.Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh celebrates a touchdown against the Titans.

Can Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh motivate his defense to stop the high-powered Bengals offense? (Robert Gauthier / Los Angeles Times)

Sunday, 5:20 p.m TV: Channel 4 (NBC)

Line: Chargers of 1½. O/U: 46½.

The Chargers are piling up wins and gaining confidence after scoring a season-high 27 in consecutive weeks. The Bengals have been a bit more up and down lately, but they are desperate.

Choose: Bengals 27, Chargers 23

TEXANS (6-4) AT COWBOYS (3-6)

Cowboys quarterback Cooper Rush (10) looks for the football after fumbling against the Eagles.Cowboys quarterback Cooper Rush (10) looks for the football after fumbling against the Eagles.

Cowboys quarterback Cooper Rush, looking to play football after fumbling against the Eagles last week, performed terribly in his first start of the season. (Jeffrey McWhorter/Associated Press)

Monday, 5:15 PM TV: Channel 7 (ABC), ESPN

Line: Texans with 7½. O/U: 42½.

The Texans are taking advantage of their in-state rivals. When else are they going to catch the Cowboys with a bunch of injured guys and Cooper Rush at quarterback? Dallas will have a hard time scoring.

Choose: Texans 26, Cowboys 13

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This story originally appeared in the Los Angeles Times.

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