National League West foes San Diego and Los Angeles meet in the Divisional Round of the playoffs beginning Saturday at Chavez Ravine. The two teams battled for the division crown well into the month of September. The Padres claimed the season series for the first time since 2010, winning 8 of 13 games. However, the Dodgers took two of three from the Padres in the final weeks of the season to clinch the division. Los Angeles finished the season with 98 wins – the most in all of baseball. The Padres finished with 43 wins after the All-Star Break – the tops in all of baseball.
The two teams will meet starting Saturday for the right to play the winner of the Mets/Phillies series in the National League Championship series. Injuries to a handful of Dodgers starters have forced Los Angeles to rely on Shohei Ohtani and the rest of the Dodgers bats to carry them… but Shohei and his buddies have done just that. Ohtani himself became the 1st player in the history of the game who hit 50 home runs and stole 50 bases. Balance has been the underlying key for the Padres since the All-Star Break, as they rank in the Top 5 in both scoring and team ERA.
Let’s dive into the match and find some sweat.
We’ve got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest information on how to catch the first pitch, the expected pitching matchup, recent team performance, player stats and of course our predictions and picks. and the best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details and how to watch Padres vs. Dodgers – Game 1
● Date: Saturday October 5, 2024
● Time: 8:38 PM ET
● Location: Dodger Stadium
● City: Los Angeles, CA
● TV/streaming: FS1
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Game odds for Padres vs. Dodgers
Friday’s latest odds:
● Moneyline: San Diego Padres (+114), Los Angeles Dodgers (-135)
● Spread: Padres +1.5 (-192), Dodgers -1.5 (+160)
● Total: 7.5
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Likely starting pitchers for Padres vs. Dodgers
● Saturday’s pitching game (October 5): Dylan Cease vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto
○ Padres: Cease (14-11, 3.47 ERA) has allowed 73 earned runs and 137 hits while striking out 224 in 189.1 innings. Cease played two playoff games in his career, throwing a total of 2.2 innings without a decision, but amassing an ERA of 10.13. One of the two appearances was a start in which he allowed three earned runs in 1.2 innings.
○ Evaders: Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA) has allowed 30 earned runs and 78 hits while striking out 105 in 90 innings. The rookie hurler has yet to appear in the playoffs.
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The best betting trends and insights you need to know ahead of Padres @ Dodgers
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This is the 3rd all-time postseason meeting, with the Dodgers winning in 2020 and the Padres claiming victory in 2022.
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Yamamoto has struggled against the Padres this season, giving up eight earned runs in six innings over two starts
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The Dodgers have won 8 of their last 10 games against NL West foes.
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The OVER is 4-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 with a rest advantage over their opponent.
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San Diego’s bullpen has a 3.16 ERA in the second half of the season
Playoff history for San Diego and Los Angeles
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Padres: San Diego has a 20-32 record in their postseason history. They reached the World Series twice, losing in both 1984 and 1998.
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Evaders: LA owns an all-time playoff record of 11,549-10,209. They have won seven World Series crowns: 1959, 1963, 1965, 1981, 1988 and 2020.
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats on the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks and predictions for Game 1 of the series between San Diego and Los Angeles
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Our model calculates projections around every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, baseball information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is ready, we place its projection next to the final betting lines so that the game can reach a relative level of confidence for each bet.
Here are the best bets our model predicts for Game 1 of Padres vs. Dodgers:
· Moneyline: NBC Sports recommends a play on the Dodgers on the Moneyline
· Spread: NBC Sports recommends a play on the Dodgers on the Run Line
· Total runs: NBC Sports recommends a game with a total of MORE THAN 7.5 runs
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