HomeBusinessUS futures rise with key inflation figures on the way

US futures rise with key inflation figures on the way

U.S. stock futures rose on Friday ahead of an inflation poll key to Federal Reserve policy, as investors weighed signs of a slowdown in the U.S. economy and absorbed the fallout from the Biden-Trump debate.

S&P 500 futures (ES=F) rose about 0.4% after the benchmark closed a step closer to its record high. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) also rose 0.4%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) hovered above the flatline.

The gauges are looking at an optimistic end to a bumpy week that saw the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) snap back from three-day losing streaks. While shares are expected to post an excellent first half heading into the last trading day of June, these swings have fueled fears of a pullback in the rest of the year.

With the November U.S. election high on the list of risks, investors took note of President Joe Biden’s weak performance in his first debate with Donald Trump. The former president’s promised tax cuts and trade restrictions are seen as likely boosts for stocks. Shares in Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) rose in premarket trading.

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Friday’s highlight is the release of the May personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. After a raft of data on Thursday exposed more cracks in economic growth, investors are eyeing a slowdown that could prompt the Fed to start cutting rates. The report is expected to show the lowest monthly increase in “core” PCE — which excludes food and energy prices — since November.

Meanwhile, the market is on alert for more signs of waning consumer resilience as key companies report gloomy sales prospects. Nike (NKE) fell nearly 15% in pre-market trading, while Walgreens (WBA) shares remained under pressure after Thursday’s 22% decline.

Live2 updates

  • Trump Media on the Move

    After a shaky debate performance from President Joe Biden, shares of Trump Media & Technology (DJT) are on the move.

    At the time of writing, shares are up 7.5% in pre-market trading.

    Be mindful of what you’re trading here, folks.

    Here’s the company’s latest 10-Q report, which shows a “company” doing something and losing a lot of money at it.

  • Nike shares are getting trampled

    Just as bad to watch (sort of…) as last night’s debate is Nike (NKE) stock in the premarket, which is down 14% as of this writing.

    The company’s guidance was a real disappointment and concerns remain about management’s execution of product innovation. It’s a warning sign that Nike isn’t providing better guidance in an Olympic year.

    I found Stifel analyst Jim Duffy’s take on the quarter interesting:

    “The FY25 guidance (the fifth downgrade to consensus in six quarters) pushes the outlook for a growth inflection further into 2025 (perhaps Q4 2025 at the earliest) and asks investors to both underwrite the success of unproven styles and look to an uncertain consumer discretionary context in 2HCY24 until momentum could regain momentum in 2HCY25. Management credibility is being severely tested and the potential for regime change at C-level adds further uncertainty. An investor day in November is likely to paint a multi-year economic model with lower returns than precedent, adding risk to the premium enjoyed in the historical multiple. We continue to appreciate the N-scale advantage in a category with long-term growth tailwinds and structural margin upside, but cannot support a compelling upside scenario at current valuations until the growth inflection becomes more tangible.”

    Duffy lowered his rating on Nike this morning.

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