HomeBusinessUS futures tiptoe ahead of CPI, Fed double whammy

US futures tiptoe ahead of CPI, Fed double whammy

U.S. stock futures trudged higher on Wednesday ahead of a key day for the U.S. economy that will provide the latest snapshot of inflation levels and the final signal on the path of interest rates.

S&P 500 futures (ES=F) built on the 27th record of the year, rising 0.1%. Futures on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) rose 0.2%, also pointing to gains after a record close for the index. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) rose 0.1%.

Wall Street is primed for a one-two punch Wednesday, with the latest on consumer prices at 8:30 a.m. ET. In the afternoon, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision.

The pace of inflation is expected to have eased over the past month, after some hotter-than-expected surprises in the first half of 2024. The consumer price index is expected to post headline inflation of 3.4%, which is in line with April, according to Bloomberg estimates. . On a core basis, excluding food and gas, prices are expected to have risen 3.5% in May compared to last year – a slight slowdown from April.

Read more: What influence does the labor market have on inflation?

In the meantime, the Fed’s decision is almost certain: the central bank is expected to maintain interest rates at their current 23-year high. Investors will be keeping a closer eye on the release of the Fed’s updated economic projections in its dot plot – specifically how many rate cuts it expects for the rest of the year.

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The last we heard was in March, there were three. Policymakers will almost certainly scale this back, thanks in part to the persistence of the aforementioned inflation this year. These projections, along with what Fed Chairman Jerome Powell says in his press conference, could be the latest market-moving events in an exceptionally busy day.

In corporate bonds, shares of Apple (AAPL) cooled after rising to a record high on Tuesday. Shares fell 0.4% premarket.

Live3 updates

  • Nvidia as the sun…

    A tip of the veil to Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo, for this ‘vibe check’ on the S&P 500.

    Clearly, Nvidia (NVDA) is the sun around which 499 other companies revolve.

    Note: Apollo is the parent company of Yahoo Finance.

    It's an Nvidia market.It's an Nvidia market.

    It’s an Nvidia market. (Apollo)

  • JP Morgan is weighing in on the vote on Musk’s pay package

    The Tesla (TSLA) shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s $56 billion pay package is in jeopardy.

    Ahead of Thursday’s vote, Tesla just dropped this post on Musk-owned X, detailing the CEO’s performance (note that this is strange to see from an X corporate account, but hey, this is Musk where we are talking about here).

    A new poll from Yahoo Finance currently shows that 96% of people who voted don’t think Musk’s pay package should be approved.

    Meanwhile, JP Morgan analyst Ryan Brinkman is weighing a comment this morning:

    “While both ISS and Glass Lewis, as well as several prominent institutional and private shareholders, have opposed the 2024 ratification of Mr. Musk’s 2018 compensation plan, we are more likely to suspect it will pass, albeit with a lower approval rating than in 2018 and perhaps by a smaller margin than is often thought. We base this expectation on anecdotal evidence of strong retail shareholder support and on our conversations with institutional investors whose reasoning appears broadly similar to that when they were asked to vote in favor of the Solar City acquisition. Investors we spoke to at the time were largely unsupportive of the Solar City acquisition, but were concerned that there would be a more negative share price reaction if the deal were voted down, given the perception of a vote of no confidence.”

    Brinkman reiterated an underweight (sell equivalent) rating on Tesla shares and a $115 price target, which assumes a decline of about 32% from current price levels.

    Read more about the Musk vote and the top votes on the pay package for Yahoo Finance CEO senior legal reporter Alexis Keenan here.

  • Confirm he’s still on the way after the big Apple deal

    Affirm (AFRM) remains one of the most popular tickers on the Yahoo Finance platform after news of an integration into Apple (AAPL) Pay emerged on Tuesday. Shares are up 1.5% pre-market, after rising 11% yesterday.

    I spoke with Affirm’s founder and CEO Max Levchin last night for a new recording of my “Opening Bid” podcast. The full episode (which delves into Levchin’s views on AI and the political atmosphere in Silicon Valley) will be released Friday morning on Yahoo Finance and major podcast platforms.

    But I’ve posted a snippet of Levchin’s commentary on the connection below so you can check it out.

    Levchin wouldn’t say how this deal will have a financial impact on Affirm (could be large considering the 1.4 billion iPhones in the wild worldwide), but hinted that it could be a strong accretive over time deliver to both the top and the bottom line.

    He did acknowledge that the deal “validates” the buy-now-pay-later space – which has been under fire from regulators and others almost since its inception.

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