Michigan could be milder and wetter this winter, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s seasonal outlook.
The agency’s Climate Prediction Center, in its January-March 2025 outlook, gives a 33% to 40% chance that most of Michigan will have above-normal temperatures during that period.
For the western half of the Upper Peninsula, NOAA gives an equal chance of above or below normal temperatures.
The average monthly temperature in southeastern Michigan is 32.3 in January, according to the National Weather Service; 35.2 in February; and 45.9 in March.
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Michigan Seasonal Precipitation Forecast
When it comes to precipitation, Michigan could also see more rain, sleet and snow than normal this winter. Most of the Lower Peninsula has a 40-50% chance of above-normal precipitation between January and March 2025.
The tip of the mitten and the Upper Peninsula are slightly less likely to see precipitation than normal, with a chance of about 30-40%.
What does the Farmer’s Almanac say?
The 2025 Farmers’ Almanac predicts cold temperatures in the Great Lakes region for the upcoming 2024-2025 winter season.
While NOAA’s winter outlook predicts above-normal temperatures and precipitation for January-March, the Farmers’ Almanac is bracing Michiganders for “icy cold” temperatures through Nov. 11.
More: Farmers’ Almanac winter forecast for 2024-2025 in Michigan: wet, snowy, frigid
Michigan is one of several states that can expect periods of sleet and rain in early November with “icy cold” temperatures through Nov. 11, with the coldest outbreak of the season in the last week of January through early February.
This article originally appeared on Detroit Free Press: Lenawee County Michigan winter forecast from NOAA