(Bloomberg) — France’s National Rally continued to consolidate its lead in opinion polls a week before the country’s snap parliamentary elections, largely at the president’s expense. Emmanuel Macron‘s centrist bloc.
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Support for Marine Le Pen’s far-right party was pegged at 36% in an Elabe poll published in La Tribune Dimanche on Sunday. That is more than 27% for the left-wing alliance Nieuw Volksfront, and only 20% for Macron’s movement.
In another Ipsos poll published on Sunday, Macron’s approval rating fell by 4 percentage points, to 28%.
Voters also place more trust in National Rally’s handling of the economy compared to other groups, despite its lack of government experience and lack of a precise financing plan, according to a second Ipsos survey published in the Financial Times on Sunday .
The survey found that 25% of voters trust the party to make the right decisions on the economy, including on improving living standards and tackling inflation, while 22% and 20% respectively New Popular Front and Macron’s movement. .
Macron dissolved the National Assembly and called a snap legislative vote after his group was defeated in European Parliament elections this month. The first round of voting is scheduled for June 30 and the second on July 7.
Predicting the number of seats each party could win is complicated by France’s two-round electoral system.
A projection by Elabe showed that National Rally and affiliated candidates could have 250 to 280 lawmakers in the next parliament, short of the 289 needed for an outright majority.
Opinion polls released on Saturday also showed National Rally building a significant lead, with one projection showing it has at least a chance of an outright majority.
Elabe interviewed people online between June 19 and June 21, 2002. Ipsos interviewed 1,000 people online between June 19 and June 20. For the second Financial Times poll, Ipsos surveyed 2,000 people between June 19 and 20.
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(Updates with polling on economic issues from the fourth paragraph.)
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