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The first 100 degree day for Dallas-Fort Worth is coming, but when? Hint: soon

Temperatures in Dallas-Fort Worth are sweltering this summer, with the first triple-digit day not far away.

Dallas-Fort Worth has recorded 19 days above 90 degrees, with the first of the year coming on February 26 at 94 degrees. March and April didn’t have a single 90 degree day, while May had 12 and June had six so far.

The first 100-degree day in Dallas-Fort Worth doesn’t occur on average until July 1, according to the National Weather Service office in Fort Worth. The Metroplex has certainly recorded triple digits for that time, but on average that’s when it happens.

Triple digits aren’t in the Dallas-Fort Worth forecast for next week, but North Texans can expect temperatures in the upper 90s this weekend.

With the Metroplex just a few weeks away from July and potentially triple-digit temperatures, let’s take a look at past climatology:


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HOW WARM WILL SUMMER TEMPERATURES BE IN NORTH TEXAS?

The current seasonal temperature outlook for North Texas predicts above-normal conditions for June, July and August.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center released its quarterly outlook on May 16. A majority of Texas is showing temperatures above normal during the summer months.

However, above normal temperatures do not always equal extreme heat.

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“Above normal does not necessarily mean extreme heat,” NWS meteorologist Patricia Sanchez told the Star-Telegram in May. “It could be a few degrees more.”

The seasonal temperature outlook for the summer months has been released.

The seasonal temperature outlook for the summer months has been released.

WHEN WAS THE FIRST 100 DEGREE DAY IN NORTH TEXAS IN THE PAST 10 YEARS?

Over the past decade, June and July are the months most likely to see the first 100 degree day in North Texas:

  • 2023- 101 degrees on June 25

  • 2022- 103 degrees on June 11th

  • 2021- 100 degrees on July 25th

  • 2020- 100 degrees on July 12th

  • 2019- 100 degrees on July 30th

  • 2018- 101 degrees on June 22nd

  • 2017- 100 degrees on June 23rd

  • 2016- 100 degrees on July 22nd

  • 2015- 100 degrees on July 26th

  • 2014- 100 degrees on July 13th

WHAT IS THE EARLIEST RECORDED 100 DEGREE DAY IN NORTH TEXAS?

Over a century ago, the earliest 100 degree day ever recorded in North Texas by NWS was on March 9, 1911.

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In total, 1911 ended with 27 days of 100 degree or higher temperatures. The hottest day of the year was 106 degrees on August 14, 1911.

Graphic from the National Weather ServiceGraphic from the National Weather Service

Graphic from the National Weather Service

WHAT IS THE LAST RECORDED 100 DEGREE DAY IN NORTH TEXAS?

More than 30 years ago, the last first occurrence of a 100-degree day in North Texas was recorded on August 23, 1989.

In total, 1989 had only six days with temperatures of 100 degrees. Although 1989 marked the first time a 100-degree day occurred, there are a few years when North Texas never experienced triple-digit temperatures.

North Texas never recorded a 100-degree day in 1906 and 1973.

Does North Texas’ 90-degree temperature in February predict a hot summer?

Not quite, because no direct correlation can be made between the early arrival of 90 degree days and how hot summer can be.

“History and climatology show us that no matter how early we get to those 90 degrees, it doesn’t necessarily reflect what we’ll look like in the summer,” NWS Warning Coordination Meteorologist Jennifer Dunn told the Star-Telegram in February .

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